{"id":10438,"date":"2023-10-22T01:46:59","date_gmt":"2023-10-22T01:46:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/shareperformanceinsight.com\/index.php\/2023\/10\/22\/as-a-ground-incursion-looms-the-big-question-remains-what-is-israels-plan-for-gaza\/"},"modified":"2023-10-22T01:46:59","modified_gmt":"2023-10-22T01:46:59","slug":"as-a-ground-incursion-looms-the-big-question-remains-what-is-israels-plan-for-gaza","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/shareperformanceinsight.com\/index.php\/2023\/10\/22\/as-a-ground-incursion-looms-the-big-question-remains-what-is-israels-plan-for-gaza\/","title":{"rendered":"As a ground incursion looms, the big question remains: What is Israel\u2019s plan for Gaza?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"paragraph inline-placeholder\">      Tal and Zak have no idea how long they\u2019ll be deployed in what the Israelis call \u201cthe Gaza envelope,\u201d the area in southern Israel that was attacked by Hamas terrorists two weeks ago.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph inline-placeholder\">      Their unit is part of a massive buildup of Israeli troops and military material on the Gaza border. On top of its regular force, the IDF has also called up 300,000 reservists who reported to their bases within hours. Across Israel, highways in the vicinity of major bases are lined with thousands and thousands of cars, abandoned by reservists rushing to take up arms.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph inline-placeholder\">      A ground incursion by Israel into Gaza now seems inevitable. On Thursday, the Israeli Defense Minister, Yoav Gallant, told troops gathered near the border that they would \u201csoon see\u201d the enclave \u201cfrom the inside\u201d and said Gaza will \u201cnever be the same.\u201d  <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph inline-placeholder\">      But what that operation might look like remains unknown. The IDF could launch a full-scale invasion, or conduct more precise incursions aimed at recovering the hostages and targeting Hamas operatives.   <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph inline-placeholder\">      What will happen after that is an even bigger question. While the Israeli leadership speaks about the need to get rid of Hamas, the plan for the future of Gaza and its more than 2 million people people remains unknown.   <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph inline-placeholder\">      \u201cThere is a consensus that any other option than to totally eliminate Hamas would be terrible, not just for Israel, but for the entire area, and then even globally,\u201d said Harel Chorev, senior researcher at the Moshe Dayan Center for Middle Eastern and African Studies at the Tel Aviv University.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph inline-placeholder\">      But Hasan Alhasan, a research fellow for Middle East Policy at the International Institute for Strategic Studies, said the plan to annihilate Hamas could be dangerous and complicated \u2013 and may have unforeseen consequences.   <\/p>\n<h2 class=\"subheader\">    Humanitarian disaster<\/h2>\n<p class=\"paragraph inline-placeholder\">      The IDF has told all civilians in north Gaza to evacuate to the south as it continues pounding the enclave with airstrikes. That order has created a humanitarian disaster of epic proportions.   <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph inline-placeholder\">      The UN\u2019s Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (OCHA) said on Saturday that about 1.4 million people had been displaced in Gaza \u2013 more than 60% of the entire strip\u2019s population. Gaza has been under blockade by Israel and Egypt for years, but after the Hamas attack, Israel also cut off its electricity, food, water and fuel supplies.   <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph inline-placeholder\">      Israel said it restored water supply on October 15, but without electricity to run pumping station, water authorities in Gaza say they cannot even tell if water has been restored, let alone pump it.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph inline-placeholder\">      \u201cThe concern, within Egypt especially, is that Israel\u2019s strategy of making the humanitarian situation very difficult in Gaza is ultimately meant to force a mass expulsion of Palestinians from Gaza into the Egyptian Sinai,\u201d Alhasan said, adding that Egypt has the backing of all of the Arab states in that it would not allow this.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph inline-placeholder\">      \u201cThe Jordanians are also concerned that if we see a mass expulsion of Palestinians from Gaza, that this would create a precedent and that Israel\u2019s right wing government would attempt to solve the Palestinian issue once and for all by expelling them en masse from Gaza into Egypt and from the West Bank into Jordan,\u201d he added.  <\/p>\n<h2 class=\"subheader\">    \u2018The most just war\u2019<\/h2>\n<p class=\"paragraph inline-placeholder\">      The huge military buildup around the Gaza Strip border is clearly visible \u2013 as is the high morale among the troops. Just down the road from the camp where Tal and Zak are staying, volunteers from across Israel have set up a makeshift pit stop for the soldiers passing by, serving food and handing out soft drinks, religious items, cigarettes and \u2013 most importantly, according to some of the soldiers \u2013 good coffee.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph inline-placeholder\">      Rabbi Yitzhak, a military rabbi, has been traveling around the Gaza border, visiting troops and offering his encouragement.   <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph inline-placeholder\">      \u201cI am here to make the soldiers stronger, so they can focus on their job\u2026 as time goes by, they can get tired, I want to make sure they know we love them and appreciate them. They are nervous, but they are strong,\u201d he said, adding that his main purpose is to boost the soldiers\u2019 morale so that they can \u201cfinish the job.\u201d  <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph inline-placeholder\">      Not that he needs to do much. The brutality of the terror attack by Hamas has shaken Israel to its core and the large number of its victims has made it personal to most.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph inline-placeholder\">      One young reservist, who was called back just a year after finishing his compulsory military service, said the war Israel was waging on Hamas was \u201cthe most just war one can imagine.\u201d  <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph inline-placeholder\">      \u201cThere is nothing more just than this \u2013 they murdered innocent civilians. That\u2019s why we are here,\u201d he said, asking for his name to remain private as he is not officially allowed to speak to media.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph inline-placeholder\">      He and the other young men he served with have been reunited near the Gaza border, training for what\u2019s to come next \u2013 whatever that may be. \u201cWe are ready, but we hope it will end soon,\u201d he added.  <\/p>\n<h2 class=\"subheader\">    Tight grip<\/h2>\n<p class=\"paragraph inline-placeholder\">      What is clear is that for people in Gaza, it will not end soon. What happens to them after the operation ends is anyone\u2019s guess. Most Israeli politicians have remained vague on their plans for the enclave, hinting it could look more like the West Bank in the future.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph inline-placeholder\">      Hamas, an Islamist organization with a military wing, has been in control of Gaza since it won a landslide victory in the 2006 Palestinian legislative elections \u2013 the last vote to be held in Gaza \u2013 and then violently expelled Fatah, the faction that makes up the backbone of the Palestinian Authority, in 2007.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph inline-placeholder\">      Unlike some other Palestinian factions, Hamas refuses to engage with Israel. It is also in a political war with the Palestinian Authority, which governs the West Bank and engages in security coordination and talks with Israel.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph inline-placeholder\">      Hamas has been designated a terrorist organization by the United States, the European Union and Israel, but it also runs religious and social welfare programs in Gaza, which is partially how it maintains a tight grip on the population.   <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph inline-placeholder\">      So if Israel succeeds in removing Hamas, it will need to replace the group with an alternative government.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph inline-placeholder\">      Avi Dichter, a former head of the Israeli Security agency, or Shin Bet, and the current minister of agriculture, said that what Israel wants to achieve in Gaza is the same level of security control it currently has in the West Bank, where it maintains complete access on its own terms.   <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph inline-placeholder\">      \u201cIt will be a post-Second World War like situation in the Gaza Strip in terms of destruction, so it will need to be taken care of,\u201d he said. He said he believed there would be international cooperation on the rebuilding of Gaza, because international aid worth tens of millions of dollars has been flowing into the enclave for years \u2013 but much of it has been misused by Hamas, he said.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph inline-placeholder\">      \u201cYou have to understand how much damage is inflicted on all of the Palestinians by Hamas. I was talking to a Palestinian<strong> <\/strong>Authority<strong> <\/strong>official and their message is clear: \u2018destroy them, destroy them, this time, Israel must destroy Hamas, otherwise we\u2019re done,\u2019\u201d he said. \u201cOf course, publicly, they condemn Israel,\u201d he added.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph inline-placeholder\">      The Palestinian Authority is controlled by Fatah, Hamas\u2019 political rival.    <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph inline-placeholder\">      However, Alhasan said securing international help could be difficult if Israel proceeds with its plan to invade Gaza.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph inline-placeholder\">      \u201cI think it would be very difficult to secure cooperation from the Arab states on the post-Israeli incursion-scenario, because they weren\u2019t on board with it from the get go \u2026 I think it will hinge on whether Israel goes for a total annexation of Gaza, or whether it opts for for something else,\u201d he said.   <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph inline-placeholder\">      He said the biggest risk is that Israel\u2019s heavy-handed approach \u2013 which could lead to a high number of civilian casualties \u2013 will only lead to Hamas being replaced by another extremist group.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph inline-placeholder\">      \u201cThis is what militant groups do. They provoke an overreaction, and that overreaction helps further radicalization, and essentially allows them to continue recruiting people to continue to receive support because the further down we go the path of violence, the more it seems that the only answer is violence,\u201d he said.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph inline-placeholder\">      The IDF campaign has so far left more than 4,000 people in Gaza dead.    <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph inline-placeholder\">      \u201cI think this is why the mass expulsion scenario becomes suddenly not inconceivable in Israel, if the objective is to eliminate Hamas, but also to prevent Hamas from regenerating or some other potentially even more radical group from emerging,\u201d Alhasan added.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph inline-placeholder\">      But Chorev said an international effort to rebuild Gaza economically could break this cycle of violence. \u201cIf all that international money that was invested into the (Hamas) projects could go to education, to welfare, to industry\u2026 you know, there are great people there (in Gaza) and the prospects would be better,\u201d he said.   <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph inline-placeholder\">      As they help their unit fire more missiles towards Gaza, with the goal of taking out Hamas targets one by one, Tal and Zak are not thinking about the future, not beyond the next day or so.   <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph inline-placeholder\">      \u201cWe try hard not to have off times. Because if you don\u2019t do anything, you<strong>r <\/strong>mind goes to places you don\u2019t want to be. All of the friends we\u2019ve lost, the family, many of us lost their close relatives and friends, some even their boyfriends and girlfriends,\u201d he said.   <\/p>\n\n<div>This post appeared first on cnn.com<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Tal and Zak have no idea how long they\u2019ll be deployed in what the Israelis call \u201cthe Gaza envelope,\u201d the area in southern Israel that was attacked by Hamas terrorists two weeks ago. Their unit is part of a massive buildup of Israeli troops and military material on the Gaza border. On top of its <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":10439,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[23],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-10438","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-world"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/shareperformanceinsight.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10438","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/shareperformanceinsight.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/shareperformanceinsight.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/shareperformanceinsight.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=10438"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/shareperformanceinsight.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10438\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/shareperformanceinsight.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/10439"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/shareperformanceinsight.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=10438"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/shareperformanceinsight.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=10438"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/shareperformanceinsight.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=10438"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}