As the Israeli military entered \u2018the second stage of the war,\u2019 having expanded its ground operation in northern Gaza on Monday, aiming to eliminate the Hamas terrorist threat once and for all, fears are growing over the conflict escalating into a broader war in the Middle East.\u00a0<\/p>\n
The Pentagon has beefed up U.S. force posture in the region and launched retaliatory airstrikes on two Iran-linked weapons and ammunition storage facilities in Syria, in an effort to deter Teheran from ratcheting up hostilities and expanding the conflict. Sending two carrier strike groups to the Eastern Mediterranean Sea, authorizing the deployment a terminal high-altitude area defense (THAAD) battery and additional Patriot battalions to the region, as the Pentagon has done, is a good strategic messaging campaign. But it does nothing to counter the threat posed by Iran and its proxies here in America.<\/p>\n
The Biden administration is likely preparing for a wrong kind of war and must shift its strategy. Rather than focusing exclusively on preventing a multi-front war in the Middle East, President Biden must first and foremost keep the Iranian threat away from the U.S. homeland.<\/p>\n
Iran is unlikely to engage in a head-to-head kinetic confrontation with the United States. First, Iran is not suicidal to take on the overwhelmingly superior U.S. military. And second, direct state-on-state combat is not Iran\u2019s way of war. Asymmetric warfare, or fighting in what the U.S. military calls the \u2018gray zone,\u2019 is the Iranian forces\u2019 signature style, which they have employed since the creation of the Islamic Republic in 1979.<\/p>\n
Gray zone is neither peace nor war. It is an in-between phase on the conflict spectrum when tensions between opposing sides rise, escalating into a crisis, but no declaration of war is proclaimed.\u00a0<\/p>\n
Military strategists discovered that a weaker power is able to get its stronger opponent \u2018stuck\u2019 in a low-intensity, often protracted, indirect military confrontation, wearing him down and often struggling to respond. The belligerents employ low-tech weapons such as homemade explosive devices, proxy actors, non-military means such as cyberattacks, targeted killings and kidnappings.\u00a0<\/p>\n
U.S. leaders have found it very difficult to counter this form of warfare, as there is no clearly defined battlefield and no regular combatant force to fight against. No internationally recognized \u2013 albeit largely by Western militaries only \u2013 rules of armed conflict apply.\u00a0<\/p>\n
Consistent with this asymmetric warfare doctrine, Iran has built an informal network of more than a dozen militant partners and proxies across the Middle East, including in Iraq, Syria, Lebanon, Yemen, Bahrain and the Palestinian territories. These proxies are backed by Iran\u2019s Islamic Revolutionary Guard (IRGC) and the elite Qods Force, which supplies them with sophisticated weapons such as UAVs, funding, and training.\u00a0<\/p>\n
Dubbed the \u2018Axis of Resistance,\u2019 these groups are doing the fighting, using terrorist means, on behalf of Iran to achieve Tehran\u2019s strategic objective, which is to drive out the U.S. military from the region. Their main target is our forces, military bases, embassies and other facilities. Since the beginning of the Israel-Hamas conflict alone, U.S. forces in the Middle East have been attacked with drones or rockets at least 25 times.<\/p>\n
The threat from Iran \u2013 which was designated by the U.S. government as a state sponsor of terrorism in 1984 \u2013 has reached our country, as acknowledged Tuesday by FBI Director Christopher Wray during in a congressional hearing. Wray stated that \u2018the ongoing war in the Middle East has raised the threat of attacks against Americans in the United States to a whole other level.\u2019\u00a0<\/p>\n
He warned that the attacks by Hamas on Israel will likely inspire terrorist attacks in the U.S. homeland. Wray also admitted that Iranians \u2018have directly or by hiring criminals, have mounted assassination attempts against dissidents and high-ranking current and former U.S. government officials, including right here, on American soil.\u2019\u00a0<\/p>\n
Iran has been developing \u2018surrogate networks inside the United States\u2019 for more than a decade in order to conduct proxy attacks on U.S. citizens, according to the 2023 Annual Threat Assessment issued in March by the Office of the Director of National Intelligence.<\/p>\n
Last Friday, the intelligence unit of the U.S. Customs and Border Protection (CBP) San Diego Field Office issued a warning in a memo to its staff that individuals \u2018inspired by, or reacting to, the current Israel-Hamas conflict may attempt travel to or from the area of hostilities in the Middle East via circuitous transit across the Southwest border.\u2019\u00a0<\/p>\n
The memo specifically mentions Hamas, Palestinian Islamic Jihad, the Popular Front for the Liberation of Palestine and Hezbollah, all of whom are backed by Iran, a decades-long sponsor of terrorism, as acknowledged by the U.S. Department of State.<\/p>\n
According to CBP statistics released on Saturday, a record number (169) of people encountered by Border Patrol agents at the southern border are on the terror watch list in FY 23 \u2013 surpassing the numbers encountered in the last six fiscal years combined.\u00a0<\/p>\n
The possible indicators, as noted in the CBP memo, are military-age males, the possession of military gear, single travelers, an undetermined return plan and an association with the region. The number of individuals posing a national security threat to the U.S. \u2013 who attempted to cross the southern border illegally over the last two years \u2013 is in the thousands.\u00a0<\/p>\n
The homeland security organizations even have a term for this group \u2013 \u2018special interest aliens.\u2019 And they are known to the government, as they are already listed in the special database called the Terrorist Screening Dataset. Imagine how many of such individuals may have entered our country, unbeknownst to our federal agencies.<\/p>\n
Another recent report warned about Iran\u2019s plans to attack strategic security assets and institutions inside the United States. The report, titled \u2018The Unseen Threat of the Mapping Project,\u2019 claims that Iranian elements have identified 298 American strategic security assets and institutions as well as personnel for attacks, kidnappings and assassinations.\u00a0<\/p>\n
The report asserts that Iran likely has developed a \u2018kill list\u2019 targeting law enforcement officials. As recently as March, the commander of Iran\u2019s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps Aerospace Amirali Hajizadeh, in a televised interview, urged the murders of the former commander of the U.S. Central Command, Gen. Kenneth McKenzie, former President Donald Trump, and former Secretary State of Mike Pompeo.\u00a0<\/p>\n
Iran\u2019s regime and its proxies already have attempted assassinations on our soil, including that of a U.S. citizen. In 2021, three men with ties to Iran, and to an Eastern European criminal organization, executed a plot to murder U.S. journalist Masih Alinejad in New York.\u00a0 Fortunately, they were apprehended by the FBI. In 2011, Iranian agents plotted to kill the Saudi Arabia ambassador to the United States, Adel al-Jubeir, in a Washington, D.C., restaurant.<\/p>\n
The seriousness and credibility of the Iranian threat on the homeland is demonstrated by the fact that the U.S. government pays $2 million per month for the round-the-clock security provided to Pompeo and former President Trump\u2019s special envoy to Iran, Brian Hook. Both of these gentlemen are on Iran\u2019s target list for assassination.\u00a0<\/p>\n
Moreover, last November, Homeland Security Secretary Alejandro Mayorkas testified to the Senate that the Islamic Republic could attack the United States \u2018with little to no warning.\u2019 And FBI Director Christopher Wray testified that Iran posed an \u2018escalating threat to the homeland, having become more capable and more aggressive in their harmful and criminal activity.\u2019<\/p>\n
Yet, the Biden administration has not taken any serious steps to halt the flow of foreign agents by closing the southern border. Nor has the administration addressed the growing spread of antisemitism across U.S. college campuses, a sentiment that will likely spark violence as Israel expands its military efforts to eradicate the existential threat of Hamas and Islamic extremism.<\/p>\n
We have already seen the level of mayhem, pillaging, arson and vandalism inflicted on American cities by the agitated mob during the riots associated with George Floyd\u2019s death in 2020. Imagine if a malevolent foreign power, obsessed with America\u2019s destruction, that has been flowing operatives into our land for a decade, starts agitating these rioters and murdering Americans. Not only would this destabilize the normal functioning of our society, but it would also constrain the freedom of action that the U.S. government needs to prevent a broader war in the Middle East.\u00a0<\/p>\n
The commander in chief must focus on America\u2019s defense and let Israel eliminate threats to its security, which it is perfectly capable of doing.\u00a0<\/p>\n