Amid a spate of polls suggesting President Biden trails former President Donald Trump in a likely 2024 election rematch, the Biden campaign and Democratic allies point back nearly a dozen years.<\/p>\n
That\u2019s when former President Barack Obama \u2013 with Biden as his running mate \u2013 won re-election to a second term in the White House in 2012 despite polls a year earlier predicting a ballot box defeat for the incumbent.<\/p>\n
\u2018Predictions more than a year out tend to look a little different a year later,\u2019 Biden campaign spokesperson Kevin Munoz said earlier this month.<\/p>\n
\u2018Don\u2019t take our word for it: Gallup predicted an eight point loss for President Obama only for him to win handedly a year later,\u2019 Munoz added.\u00a0<\/p>\n
And Biden campaign manager Julie Chavez Rodriquez wrote in a recent fundraising email that \u2018the year is 2011. It\u2019s one-year out from Election Day, and the New York Times has just put out polling showing President Obama trailing significantly in battleground states.\u2019<\/p>\n
But a trip down memory lane reminds us that while Obama was saddled in late 2011 with unfavorable polling a year before his re-election, his standing was not as troublesome as the deficits Biden currently faces.<\/p>\n
Obama mostly maintained a slight polling advantage over eventual 2012 GOP nominee Mitt Romney. A Fox News poll from early December 2011 indicated the incumbent with a 44%-42% edge over Romney, after trailing the then-former Massachusetts governor by two points in a November survey.<\/p>\n
And Obama topped another top contender for the 2012 Republican presidential nomination \u2013 former House Speaker Newt Gingrich \u2013 by five and six points in the November and December 2011 Fox News polls.<\/p>\n
Fast-forward a dozen years and Biden trails Trump \u2013 the commanding front-runner for the 2024 GOP presidential nomination as he makes his third straight White House bid \u2013 by four points.<\/p>\n
The same Fox News national poll, conducted Nov. 10-13, suggests the president down by five points to Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis and trailing by 12 points to former ambassador and former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley, in hypothetical 2024 general election showdowns.<\/p>\n
The president\u2019s approval rating is also deeper underwater than Obama\u2019s was a dozen years ago.<\/p>\n
Biden\u2019s approval rating, which has been in negative territory for over two years, stood at 40%-59% in the latest Fox News poll.<\/p>\n
Obama stood at 42%-48% in the Fox News November 2011 poll, and at 44%-51% in the survey a month later.<\/p>\n
The new Fox News poll, and surveys from other organizations, also point to high disapproval ratings for Biden among key groups that traditionally support Democrats.<\/p>\n
Veteran Republican pollster Neil Newhouse noted that polls \u2018aren\u2019t necessarily predictive a year out.\u2019<\/p>\n
\u2018But that doesn\u2019t mean you ignore these polls and they [Biden\u2019s campaign] do so at their own risk,\u2019 he emphasized.<\/p>\n
Newhouse, the lead pollster on Romney\u2019s 2012 presidential campaign, argued that \u2018Joe Biden is not the campaigner and communicator that Barack Obama was. The Obama folks had the full resources of a strong candidate at their disposal and I don\u2019t think the Biden campaign does.\u2019<\/p>\n
Obama\u2019s polling woes in 2011 came the year after Democrats were trounced in the 2010 midterm elections.\u00a0<\/p>\n
The Biden campaign notes that twelve years later, the current Democratic president and his party are coming off \u00a0ballot box successes in the 2022 midterms, as well as this month\u2019s off-year elections.<\/p>\n\n
Amid a spate of polls suggesting President Biden trails former President Donald Trump in a likely 2024 election rematch, the Biden campaign and Democratic allies point back nearly a dozen years. That\u2019s when former President Barack Obama \u2013 with Biden as his running mate \u2013 won re-election to a second term in the White House <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":12177,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[25],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-12176","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-politics"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/shareperformanceinsight.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12176","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/shareperformanceinsight.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/shareperformanceinsight.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/shareperformanceinsight.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=12176"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/shareperformanceinsight.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12176\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/shareperformanceinsight.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/12177"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/shareperformanceinsight.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=12176"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/shareperformanceinsight.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=12176"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/shareperformanceinsight.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=12176"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}