{"id":17593,"date":"2024-04-04T12:46:44","date_gmt":"2024-04-04T12:46:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/shareperformanceinsight.com\/index.php\/2024\/04\/04\/morning-glory-will-democrats-trade-in-biden-for-a-newer-model-in-chicago\/"},"modified":"2024-04-04T12:46:44","modified_gmt":"2024-04-04T12:46:44","slug":"morning-glory-will-democrats-trade-in-biden-for-a-newer-model-in-chicago","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/shareperformanceinsight.com\/index.php\/2024\/04\/04\/morning-glory-will-democrats-trade-in-biden-for-a-newer-model-in-chicago\/","title":{"rendered":"Morning Glory: Will Democrats trade in Biden for a newer model in Chicago?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"speakable\">\u2018US election: Donald Trump 7\/4 favourite for White House return.\u2019<\/p>\n<p class=\"speakable\">That was the headline at the United Kingdom\u2019s Ladbrokes\u2019 betting emporium \u2014in July of last year! I have to think the line there is moving in Donald Trump\u2019s favor every week. President Joe Biden isn\u2019t exactly a \u2018dead candidate walking\u2019\u2014he was a 2:1 bet in the same bookie forum at the same time\u2014but between the Wall Street Journal and Fox News polls this week, you have to love 45\u2019s odds over 46.<\/p>\n<p>I think Trump enters \u2018mortal lock\u2019 territory if he picks a \u2018normie Republican\u2019 as his running mate. People simply don\u2019t vote for the second name on the ticket, but they do factor it in, especially when the contrast will be with Vice President Harris. If Trump picks Senator Tom Cotton, Senator Joni Ernst or former Secretary of State Mike Pompeo\u2014all veterans, all disciplined campaigners and serious voices on national security\u2014I think Trump can order the drapes for the Oval the second time. Give the establishment GOP, the RINOs, the independents and even the old school Democrats who believed in national defense something to cling to and Trump wins most of them. These three are all conservative but they are conservatives with whom most \u2018normies\u2019 are very comfortable.<\/p>\n<p>The issues are set and they favor Trump. An easy way to remember them is with the mnemonic AABCDEII: Afghanistan and appeasement, border, crime, \u2018DEI\u2019 and inflation. You could add another \u2018E\u2019 for \u2018education\u2019 and make it AABCDEEII, but some folks remain queasy over \u2018school choice.\u2019<\/p>\n<p>I don\u2019t. \u2018Choice\u2019 is established and working in Arizona, Iowa, Ohio, Florida and elsewhere, but is still blocked in Texas. I think \u2018school choice\u2019 is a winner with parents, but haven\u2019t heard much yet from the former president on saving kids from broken public schools where the expansion of administrators at the expense of classroom teachers is mind-boggling.<\/p>\n<div class=\"embed-media fn-video\">\n<div class=\"video-container\">\n<div class=\"m video-player\"> <\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>There is also the endless \u2018lawfare\u2019 being waged against Trump, and any fair-minded American is repulsed by it. The absurd circus in the New York civil \u2018fraud\u2019 case alerted the center-right and center-left voters that the Empire State is no place for Republicans or even moderate Democrats to do business if they fall afoul of the political interest of that state\u2019s Attorney General Leticia James and end up in the courtroom of a judge from the left. That charade was bad for every business in New York.<\/p>\n<p>Manhattan District Attorney Alvin Bragg is about to increase Trump\u2019s lead with Bragg\u2019s joke of a criminal prosecution. Listen to former Southern District of New York Assistant U.S. Attorney Andrew McCarthy\u2019s podcast, \u2018The McCarthy Report,\u2019 to get the honest-to-goodness assessment of this ridiculous prosecution. Now, I don\u2019t think Trump can get a fair trial from the presiding judge there either or from the Manhattan jury pool, so I expect a conviction unless one courageous juror with a brain gets on the jury and simply refuses to be part of this Big Apple witch-hunt.<\/p>\n<p>But I also don\u2019t think a conviction in Manhattan will in any way hurt Trump. Legacy media is betting everything on a conviction arriving on the bizarre theory Bragg cooked up actually hurting Trump, but they don\u2019t get out much from their Blue Bubbles. \u2018Normies\u2019 know what\u2019s going on here. And they don\u2019t like it, no matter how often NBC and MSNBC hosts and \u2018analysts\u2019 scream at them that they must DQ the former president if he\u2019s convicted, even if it is a show trial in a kangaroo court. They are all lefties\u2014all of them\u2014and they don\u2019t understand that the public generally understands\u2014and loathes\u2014\u2019lawfare.\u2019<\/p>\n<p>7-4 is a good line for Trump right now. I suspect it will even be better in May and then pop more with his VP choice. Which leads to the key question.<\/p>\n<p>When do Democrats panic (if they haven\u2019t already?) The obviously infirm president who can\u2019t even do an interview with Stephen Colbert without former presidents Barack Obama and Bill Clinton flanking him and propping him up, is fading in real time. But no one has stepped out yet asking for an \u2018open convention\u2019 which will be the \u2018Go!\u2019 signal to California Governor Gavin Newsom and many others in the wings. (The GOP\u2019s nightmare is Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro as the Democratic nominee, with VP Harris sticking in the #2 position.)<\/p>\n<p>The polls are great for Trump and awful for Biden. The cake seems baked absent some extraordinary event and a Manhattan show trial isn\u2019t going to be such an event no matter the result.<\/p>\n<p>Democrats gavel in their Chicago convention on August 19. I don\u2019t know if Ladbrokes has opened a line yet on whether somebody other than Biden is the actual Democrat nominee come, but if I was in England, I\u2019d be stopping by to place some quid on \u2018somebody else\u2019 right now.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Hugh Hewitt is one of the country\u2019s leading journalists of the center-right. A son of Ohio and a graduate of Harvard College and the University of Michigan Law School, Hewitt has been a Professor of Law at Chapman University\u2019s Fowler School of Law since 1996, where he teaches Constitutional Law. Hewitt launched his eponymous radio show from Los Angeles in 1990, and it is today syndicated to hundreds of stations and outlets across the country every Monday through Friday morning. Hewitt has frequently appeared on every major national news television network, hosted television shows for PBS and MSNBC, written for every major American paper, authored a dozen books and moderated a score of Republican candidate debates, most recently the November 2023 Republican presidential debate in Miami and four Republican presidential debates in the 2015-16 cycle. Hewitt focuses his radio show and this column on the Constitution, national security, American politics and the Cleveland Browns and Guardians. Hewitt has interviewed tens of thousands of guests from Democrats Hillary Clinton and John Kerry to Republican Presidents George W. Bush and Donald Trump over his 40 years in broadcast, and this column previews the lead story that will drive his radio show today.<\/p>\n\n<div>This post appeared first on FOX NEWS<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u2018US election: Donald Trump 7\/4 favourite for White House return.\u2019 That was the headline at the United Kingdom\u2019s Ladbrokes\u2019 betting emporium \u2014in July of last year! I have to think the line there is moving in Donald Trump\u2019s favor every week. President Joe Biden isn\u2019t exactly a \u2018dead candidate walking\u2019\u2014he was a 2:1 bet in <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":17594,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[25],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-17593","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-politics"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/shareperformanceinsight.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17593","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/shareperformanceinsight.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/shareperformanceinsight.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/shareperformanceinsight.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=17593"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/shareperformanceinsight.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17593\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/shareperformanceinsight.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/17594"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/shareperformanceinsight.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=17593"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/shareperformanceinsight.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=17593"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/shareperformanceinsight.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=17593"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}