Can former President Donald Trump break the Republican record for Hispanic presidential vote share? Doing so may determine whether he returns to the White House.\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n
Latinos now account\u00a0for 15% of eligible voters and are one of the nation\u2019s fastest-growing racial or ethnic group. In 2020, Trump defied predictions and increased his share of the Latino vote, winning 38%. That\u2019s within striking distance of the Republican modern-day high-water mark of 40%\u00a0set by George W. Bush in 2004.\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n
Polls suggest Trump will break that record this fall and may win the Hispanic vote outright. A recent New York Times poll shows Trump polling at 46% among Hispanics, surpassing President Joe Biden.\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n
If Trump can solidify this lead, he could flip states he narrowly lost in 2020, including Arizona, which he lost by 10,457 votes, Georgia (12,670 votes), Wisconsin (20,682), and Nevada (33,596). These states\u2019 combined 43 electoral votes\u00a0would have been enough to propel Trump to reelection.\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n
\u2018Given how close states like Arizona and Nevada were in 2020, a seven-point shift in vote share among Latinos to Trump in 2024 would likely be enough to flip both states into the red column,\u2019 writes the Cook Political Report.\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n
No wonder Biden is desperately trying to stop his bleeding support among Hispanics. In a recent interview on Univision, he ridiculously said Trump \u2018despises Latinos.\u2019 His campaign has launched a new Hispanic initiative called Latinos con Biden-Harris. \u2018I need you badly,\u2019 Biden admitted at its launch in Phoenix. \u2018I need the help.\u2019\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n
But the damage is already done. Democrats\u2019 bad policies have disproportionately hurt Latinos. High inflation, which has increased nearly 20%\u00a0over Biden\u2019s term, acts as a regressive tax on Hispanics who tend to earn less than average Americans. \u00a0<\/p>\n
Democrats\u2019 base of coastal elites don\u2019t notice food, rent and gas prices, but those are hitting hardworking Hispanics hard. High crime due to Democrats\u2019 soft-on-crime policies especially impacts working-class communities where many Latinos live.\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n
In other words, Hispanics are on the front lines of America\u2019s economic and social decay. It\u2019s no surprise that polls show\u00a0they care far more about these kitchen table issues than Americans as a whole.\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n
Hispanics also remember how much higher their quality of life was under Trump. In contrast to the declining real wages under Biden, Hispanic household incomes rose 12%\u00a0(nearly $7,000) between the beginning of 2017 to the beginning of 2020.\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n
\u2018Frankly, the Trump years prior to the pandemic were actually relatively better for working-class voters, including nonwhites, than the first three years of the Biden administration,\u2019 notes\u00a0longtime Democrat political analyst Ruy Texeira.\u00a0<\/p>\n
For the past several years, we\u2019ve chronicled Latinos\u2019 movement to the political right. We\u2019ve pointed out how Hispanics\u2019 emphasis on faith, family, and entrepreneurship makes them far more politically aligned with Republicans. \u00a0<\/p>\n
Polls suggest Trump will break that record this fall and may win the Hispanic vote outright. A recent New York Times poll shows Trump polling at 46% among Hispanics, surpassing President Joe Biden.\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n
Democrats\u2019 obsession with abortion, faculty lounge views on cultural issues, and tax-spend-and-regulate economic policy that destroys job opportunities increasingly repels Hispanic voters. Republicans, the party of faith, family and entrepreneurship, welcome them.\u00a0<\/p>\n
One reason for this political migration is that Hispanics are overcoming America\u2019s racial economic gaps through entrepreneurship. Latinos are nearly twice as likely\u00a0to start their own business. They are not the oppressed \u2018people of color\u2019 Democrats make them out to be. They want to succeed on their own hard work and merit. And Republican free market policies will help them get there and live the American Dream.\u00a0<\/p>\n
\u2018Latinos are Republicans,\u2019 said President Ronald Reagan. \u2018They just don\u2019t know it yet.\u2019 This is the year Hispanics will finally find their political home.\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n
Alfredo Ortiz is president and CEO of Job Creators Network, author of\u00a0\u2018The Real Race Revolutionaries,\u2019 and co-host of\u00a0\u2018The Main Street Matters\u2018\u00a0podcast.<\/p>\n\n
Can former President Donald Trump break the Republican record for Hispanic presidential vote share? Doing so may determine whether he returns to the White House.\u00a0\u00a0 Latinos now account\u00a0for 15% of eligible voters and are one of the nation\u2019s fastest-growing racial or ethnic group. In 2020, Trump defied predictions and increased his share of the Latino <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":17628,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[25],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-17627","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-politics"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/shareperformanceinsight.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17627","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/shareperformanceinsight.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/shareperformanceinsight.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/shareperformanceinsight.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=17627"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/shareperformanceinsight.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17627\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/shareperformanceinsight.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/17628"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/shareperformanceinsight.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=17627"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/shareperformanceinsight.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=17627"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/shareperformanceinsight.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=17627"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}