Nate Silver, the founder of FiveThirtyEight, said that if President Biden is still \u2018struggling\u2019 by the end of the summer, he should consider dropping out of the presidential race.\u00a0<\/p>\n
\u2018If Biden is still struggling in August he needs to consider stepping aside,\u2019 the polling guru wrote Thursday on X. \u2018It\u2019s not a great situation for Ds either way, but you have to do due diligence on the question. It\u2019s an important election, obviously. It shouldn\u2019t be taboo to talk about.\u2019<\/p>\n
Recent polls have shown former President Trump leading in several key swing states as Biden continues to get low favorability ratings.\u00a0<\/p>\n
But a new poll this week shows the race deadlocked nationally.\u00a0<\/p>\n
The Democratic president stands at 48% among registered voters, with his Republican predecessor in the White House at 47%, according to a Quinnipiac University survey released on Wednesday. Biden\u2019s one-point edge over Trump is well within the poll\u2019s margin of error.<\/p>\n
In a likely five-candidate showdown, Biden stands at 41%, Trump scores 38% and Democrat-turned-independent Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. grabs 14% support, with Green Party candidate Jill Stein and independent progressive candidate Cornel West each at 2%.<\/p>\n
\u2018Call them fair weather, call them unsure. A sizable block of registered voters is still juggling candidates, with Kennedy voters particularly swayable and Trump voters less inclined to bail on their candidate,\u2019 Quinnipiac University polling analyst Tim Mally highlighted.<\/p>\n
A Fox News survey earlier this month showed Trump narrowly ahead of Biden (a one-point lead) in a tightened race as an uptick in economic optimism pushed approval of Biden up.<\/p>\n
Silver later added on X, \u2018*If* Biden is still trailing Trump by >=3 points in the swing states in August\u2014not something I take for granted\u2014then he\u2019ll be a pretty big underdog. It would be bananas not to consider alternatives. Sometimes all you get choose from is different types of bananas.\u2019<\/p>\n
He added that if the first debate goes \u2018*really* badly\u2019 for Biden and he\u2019s polling five to six points behind Trump in swing states, \u2018That\u2019s a nearly unsalvageable position. You\u2019d have to pull the emergency lever.\u2019\u00a0<\/p>\n
The two candidates have agreed to two TV debates in June and September ahead of the election on Nov. 5.\u00a0<\/p>\n
FiveThirtyEight correctly predicted that Biden would win in 2020, but incorrectly predicted Hillary Clinton would beat Trump in 2016.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n
Nate Silver, the founder of FiveThirtyEight, said that if President Biden is still \u2018struggling\u2019 by the end of the summer, he should consider dropping out of the presidential race.\u00a0 \u2018If Biden is still struggling in August he needs to consider stepping aside,\u2019 the polling guru wrote Thursday on X. \u2018It\u2019s not a great situation for <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":19532,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[25],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-19531","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-politics"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/shareperformanceinsight.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19531","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/shareperformanceinsight.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/shareperformanceinsight.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/shareperformanceinsight.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=19531"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/shareperformanceinsight.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19531\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/shareperformanceinsight.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/19532"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/shareperformanceinsight.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=19531"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/shareperformanceinsight.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=19531"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/shareperformanceinsight.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=19531"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}